DVSA open data · 33,241 tests analysed

Ford Transit 2015: reliability & common MOT faults

11,537 first-attempt MOT failures were recorded on the 2015 Ford Transit in 2025. Figures are among first-attempt failed MOT tests, not among all tests.

Drive shafts — Joints (front) was the most common reason a 2015 Transit failed its MOT — 27.9% of its failed first attempts.

65.3%

of 33,241 first tests (2025)

33,241

test year 2025

11,537

failed first-attempt tests

MOT pass rates

First-attempt and official-style rates among class 4 first tests of the year.

65.3%

of 33,241 first tests (2025)

70.3%

incl. same-day PRS fixes

33,241

class 4 · first MOT of the year

Typical age 10.0 yrs · median mileage 114,849 mi

vs 2024: -0.4 pp first-attempt

Note:

  • Class 4 cars · first MOT of the year per vehicle · P/PRS/F outcomes (2025 data).
  • PRS (fixed at the station the same day) counts as a fail in the first-attempt rate.
  • Raw outcomes for this cohort — not adjusted for age, mileage, or peer mix.
  • MOT doesn't test engine or gearbox internals.

Common faults

Failure patterns that show up more often on this registration year than on similar cars.

These MOT failure patterns show up more often on this registration year than on similar cars of the same class, age, and mileage.

Shares below are measured across the 11,522 of 11,537 failed first attempts (99.9%) that recorded an odometer reading in 2025 — the subset the age-and-mileage comparison can be computed on.

Standout: Rigid brake pipes (front) — 8.1% of this year's failed first attempts

Recorded on 929 of those tests. It tops the table on elevation — about 23× more often than on similar cars of the same age and mileage. That is what makes it unusual for its class, which is a different question from what is most likely to fail; the buying checklist ranks by that. The full ranked list is in the table below.

Fault pattern Location Failures vs similar cars Share of fails Confidence
Rigid brake pipes (front)
Brakes > Rigid brake pipes
Front 929 ×23 8.1% Strong
Rigid brake pipes (rear)
Brakes > Rigid brake pipes
Rear 734 ×9.6 6.4% Strong
Drive shafts — Joints (front)
Body, chassis, structure > Transmission > Drive shafts > Joints
Front 3,210 ×7.5 27.9% Strong
Wheel bearings (front)
Suspension > Wheel bearings
Front 427 ×3.9 3.7% Likely
Diesel emissions test (compression-ignition rules for vehicles from 01/01/2014) Any 760 ×3.5 6.6% Likely
Anti-lock braking system
Brakes > ABS / EBS / ESC > Anti-lock braking system
Any 486 ×3.1 4.2% Likely
Pins and bushes (front)
Suspension > Suspension arms > Pins and bushes
Front 1,510 ×3.1 13.1% Likely
Electronic stability control
Brakes > ABS / EBS / ESC > Electronic stability control
Any 318 ×2.4 2.8% Possible

Only patterns that clear minimum sample and elevation thresholds are shown (at least 20 failures and about 2.0× more often than similar cars).

Note: Rates and comparisons are among first-attempt failed tests, not all MOTs. Patterns come from MOT defect codes — not manufacturer service bulletins, recalls, or a diagnosis of any individual car. Failures and advisories are listed separately.

Wear patterns

Usage and mileage effects that often track road use rather than model design.

These patterns look like wear or usage effects rather than model-specific design faults. Tyres, brake friction material, and alignment-related defects often track mileage and road use.

Pattern Location Failures vs similar cars Share of fails Confidence
Valve stem (rear)
Tyres > Valve stem
Rear 33 ×12 0.3% Wear
Valve stem (front)
Tyres > Valve stem
Front 24 ×11 0.2% Wear
Brake pads
Brakes > Mechanical brake components > Brake linings and pads > Brake pads
Any 33 ×2.4 0.3% Wear
Note: These patterns are not treated as a model design fault in our common-faults ranking.

Advisories

Notes recorded at the test that appear more often than on similar cars.

Advisory notes recorded on failed first-attempt tests that appear more often than on similar cars.

Advisory pattern Location Notes vs similar cars Share Confidence
Pipes and hoses (front)
Steering > Power steering > Pipes and hoses
Front 223 ×28 1.9% Strong
Rigid brake pipes (front)
Brakes > Rigid brake pipes
Front 2,284 ×17 19.8% Strong
Valve stem (rear)
Tyres > Valve stem
Rear 27 ×10 0.2% Wear
Rigid brake pipes (rear)
Brakes > Rigid brake pipes
Rear 1,715 ×8.0 14.9% Strong
Engine mounting condition
Body, chassis, structure > Engine mounting > Engine mounting condition
Any 50 ×7.4 0.4% Likely
Stop lamp (rear)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment > Stop lamp
Rear 430 ×7.2 3.7% Elevated
Drive shafts — Joints (front)
Body, chassis, structure > Transmission > Drive shafts > Joints
Front 37 ×6.4 0.3% Strong
Other components
Steering > Power steering > Other components
Any 47 ×5.8 0.4% Possible
Note: Advisories are not a fail rate — they flag issues noted at the test, often before they become failures.

If you are buying one

What this year's MOT record means for the decision in front of you.

Nothing separates this year from the Transits either side of it, so buy on the individual car. The checks below are the items that actually failed 2015 Transits, commonest first.

Other Transit years worth knowing about

Newer cars always pass more often, so a plain "best year" list would just rank by age. These are the years that beat or miss the trend their own neighbouring years set — the only age-adjusted signal this data supports.

Year vs the years either side First-attempt pass (rises with newer cars) First tests
2014 Transit +3.6 pp better 63.7% 26,599
2012 Transit -2.5 pp worse 50.0% 12,952
2013 Transit -1.9 pp worse 54.9% 17,619
2017 Transit -1.7 pp worse 67.2% 41,381

What to check on a 2015 Transit

The items that failed 2015 Transits most often, as a share of the year's failed first attempts. This is what goes wrong, not what is unusual — the table further up the page covers that.

  • Drive shafts — Joints (front) — recorded on 27.9% of failed first attempts
  • Pins and bushes (front) — recorded on 13.1% of failed first attempts
  • Rigid brake pipes (front) — recorded on 8.1% of failed first attempts
  • Visibility — Washers — recorded on 6.9% of failed first attempts
  • Tyres — Condition (rear) — recorded on 6.4% of failed first attempts

Every figure here is a first-attempt MOT rate from DVSA open data for this model line. MOTs do not test engine or gearbox internals, so this is a pre-purchase checklist, not a full reliability score.

FAQs

Short answers about how to read this model-year guide.

Drive shafts — Joints (front) was the most common reason a 2015 Transit failed its MOT — 27.9% of its failed first attempts. In 2025, 65.3% of 33,241 first MOTs on the 2015 Ford Transit passed first time (PRS — items fixed at the station the same day — counted as a fail). The official-style rate including PRS is 70.3%. Among 11,537 failed first-attempt MOT tests (test year 2025), Rigid brake pipes (front) appears mo…
Ranked by how often they were actually recorded, the items that failed 2015 Ford Transits most often at the first attempt were Drive shafts — Joints (front) (27.9%), Pins and bushes (front) (13.1%) and Rigid brake pipes (front) (8.1%) — each as a share of the year's failed first attempts. That is what goes wrong on the car. It is a different question from which patterns are unusual for the class, which the common-fa…
Among failed first-attempt tests we highlight patterns that appear more often than on similar cars. Top example: Rigid brake pipes (front) (8.1% of those tests; 929 observed failures; about 23× more often than similar cars). These are statistical signals, not a diagnosis of any individual car.
Rigid brake pipes (front) shows up more often than on similar cars (8.1% of those tests; 929 observed failures; about 23× more often than similar cars). That does not prove a design fault — age, mileage, and how the car was used still matter. Treat it as a pre-purchase check point, not a manufacturer service bulletin.
Common MOT problem areas for the 2015 Ford Transit include Rigid brake pipes (front), Drive shafts — Joints (front), Wheel bearings (front). These patterns show up more often than on similar cars after we filter out sparse noise — not a full list of every possible fault on an individual car.
Advisories flag issues noted at the test and are not a fail rate. We show advisory patterns that appear more often than on similar cars among failed first-attempt tests, separate from common failure rows. Use them as early-warning checks, not as a pass/fail score.
This page highlights MOT failure patterns for the 2015 Ford Transit (registration year) using UK DVSA open data for the selected test year. Patterns are compared with cars of a similar age and mileage. It is a buyer checklist from MOT defect statistics — not a full service history or manufacturer service-bulletin list.
No. MOT tests do not cover engine internals, gearboxes, or many electronic modules. Patterns here come from MOT defect statistics only and should not be read as engine or gearbox reliability scores.

About this data

How this page is built and what it can (and can't) say.

These figures come from UK MOT open data for this model year. We surface common failure patterns against similar cars — not a full reliability score, and not a pass/fail verdict on any individual vehicle.

2024 2025

What we include

UK Class 4 cars only. Normal MOT tests (not retests); first test per vehicle per calendar year; results pass, PRS, or fail.

Same-day repairs

PRS means the car failed items that were fixed at the test station and then passed the same day. We count PRS as a first-attempt fail in headline rates so same-day repairs do not hide problems.

How we compare

We compare this model year with other Class 4 cars of similar age and mileage in the same test year. This model family is left out of the peer group so the car is not measured against itself.

What this does not cover

  • MOTs do not cover engine internals, gearboxes, or many electronics — this is not a full reliability score.
  • Common faults come from MOT defect stats, not manufacturer TSBs or recalls.
  • Age and mileage matching reduces — but does not remove — differences in how cars were used and maintained.
  • We never invent pass rates, star scores, or ranks when those data marts are missing.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

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